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Israel’s Invisible Siege: How Iran, Pakistan and Türkiye Are Being Strategically Encircled

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Across the geopolitical chessboard of the Middle East and South Asia, Israel proxy war strategy is waging a war whose reach extends far beyond its physical borders. This is not a conventional conflict fought with tanks and troops, but a carefully engineered, multi-layered strategy designed to neutralize what Israeli strategic thinkers see as three existential threats: Iran’s nuclear ambitions, Pakistan’s nuclear capability, and Türkiye’s rapidly expanding naval and military power.

Unable to confront all three powers directly, Israel has instead refined an indirect yet highly effective doctrine—war by proxies. Rather than engaging in open conflict, Israel is strengthening regional rivals of these states with advanced weaponry, intelligence support, and diplomatic leverage, creating what analysts describe as an “invisible siege.”

Iran: Washington as the Main Battlefield

Israel’s strategy against Iran rests primarily on its immense influence within the United States. Organizations such as AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee) have evolved far beyond traditional lobbying groups and now play a decisive role in shaping U.S. foreign policy. Over the years, Israel has successfully embedded a narrative in Washington that Israel’s security is synonymous with America’s national interest.

On Iran, Israel’s core objective has been to ensure that the U.S. Congress and the White House view any diplomatic leniency toward Tehran as an existential danger to Israel. Think tanks such as the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) have been instrumental in amplifying this perception, consistently promoting the idea that military action—not diplomacy—is the only viable solution to Iran’s nuclear program.

Related: Pakistan Draws Red Lines on Gaza, Israel Alarmed

The result has been Washington’s long-standing “maximum pressure” policy on Tehran. Israeli intelligence assessments, frequently shared with U.S. officials, portray Iran’s nuclear program as an imminent global threat. Israel’s ultimate aim is clear: to push the United States into targeting Iran’s missile infrastructure and nuclear facilities, thereby avoiding the economic and human costs of a prolonged regional war for Israel itself.

Analysts believe Israel proxy war strategy toward Iran is designed to shift the burden of confrontation onto the United States while keeping Israeli forces out of a prolonged regional war.

Pakistan: India as Israel’s Strategic Test Lab

To counter Pakistan’s nuclear capability, Israel has effectively turned India into its strategic laboratory. The technology Israel has transferred to New Delhi goes far beyond defensive systems, granting India a clear offensive edge.

At the heart of this cooperation is the Barak-8 missile defense system, jointly developed by Israel and India, designed to intercept cruise missiles and combat aircraft—assets central to Pakistan’s deterrence posture. Israel has also supplied India with Phalcon AWACS, providing deep surveillance capabilities that allow Indian forces to monitor Pakistani airspace far beyond their borders.

Equally concerning is Israel’s transfer of Heron TP armed drones and Spice-2000 precision-guided munitions, reportedly used during the Balakot crisis and later limited engagements, including the May 2025 confrontation. However, the most dangerous dimension of this partnership lies in cyber and intelligence warfare. Tools such as the Pegasus spyware have enhanced India’s surveillance capabilities, raising serious concerns about the monitoring of Pakistan’s sensitive institutions and potential vulnerabilities in its defense networks.

Israel’s objective is to keep Pakistan permanently preoccupied on its eastern front, ensuring it remains strategically constrained. In South Asia, Israel proxy war strategy has found its most effective expression through deep military, intelligence, and cyber cooperation with India.

Türkiye: Building a Mediterranean Pressure Ring

To counter Türkiye’s rising influence, Israel has reinforced Greece and Cyprus as forward military bastions against Ankara. A landmark $1.65 billion defense agreement with Greece includes the establishment of an international flight training center for the Hellenic Air Force—designed around Israeli combat doctrines optimized for countering Turkish air power.

Israel has also supplied Greece with Spike NLOS missile systems, capable of striking naval and land targets with extreme precision. These systems are particularly relevant to the Eastern Mediterranean, where Türkiye conducts offshore drilling operations. Meanwhile, Cyprus has been offered advanced radar systems and Iron Dome-style air defense capabilities to counter Turkish drones.

An extensive Israel-Greece-Cyprus intelligence-sharing grid is now operational, tracking Türkiye’s movements across the Mediterranean and forcing Ankara to reconsider any assertive maneuver. The Eastern Mediterranean dimension of Israel proxy war strategy reflects Tel Aviv’s effort to contain Türkiye without direct military engagement.

A Doctrine of Fear and Balance

Taken together, Israel’s approach reflects a firm belief in the “balance of terror.” Recognizing that it cannot fight Tehran, Islamabad, and Ankara simultaneously, Israel has transformed global and regional powers into extensions of its own strategic reach.

The United States serves as the frontline force against Iran. India performs that role against Pakistan. Greece and Cyprus act as buffers against Türkiye.

In return for cutting-edge Israeli technology, these states provide Israel with geographic leverage, diplomatic cover, and strategic depth. The broader objective is unmistakable: to keep Iran, Pakistan, and Türkiye so deeply entangled in their own neighborhoods that Israel can pursue its regional ambitions—particularly in Palestine and the wider Middle East—without facing unified resistance.

Ultimately, the success or failure of Israel proxy war strategy will depend on how Iran, Pakistan, and Türkiye adapt to this form of indirect and asymmetric warfare.

As 2026 unfolds, Israel’s policy of invisible encirclement appears firmly in place. While Iran, Pakistan, and Türkiye remain powerful in their own right, the proxy blocs assembled around them have created an exceptionally fragile balance of power. The future of regional stability may now depend on whether these three states can recognize this indirect warfare model and develop a coordinated response—or continue fighting defensive battles against weapons and strategies supplied by Israel itself.

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Faraz Ansari

fraz.a.ansari@gmail.com

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